China - Energy Black Hole?
Perhaps most of you have heard of the solar panel shortage that is occuring. Four areas of the world are to blame for this shortage, unfortunately the US is not one of them.
Japan has always been a large user of solar electricity. They have also been a large producer. Their demand for solar panels is not slowing down. It is constantly increasing, far outpacing the U.S.
Africa has long needed the blessings of solar in villages and communities that are distant from the electrical grid (near large cities). Africa is finally turning the corner and using far more solar panels and other solar devices to power lights and communications in small villages.
Currently the biggest user of the world's supply of solar panels is Germany. Here in Las Vegas we get credited 11 cents per KWH for any electricity generated by solar panels on our roofs (and nothing if we happen to generate more than we use). The lucky folks in Germany receive from .65 cents to $1.00 per KWH for all of the solar electricity they manage to generate! This means that the solar panels on their roofs actually becomes money making enterprises. Each household figures out how to use the least amount of power, then sell the remainder of electricity they generate back to the utility, at huge profits. Wow, no wonder they are trying to buy every available solar panel in the world!
Then there's China. Where do we start? Well, we better keep an eye on this one, because I got a feeling that the good ole American Dream could be altered considerably by the events currently unfolding in China.
The Chinese people are a rapidly advancing society that produces all sorts of goods at an alarming rate. We've all seen the lower priced merchandise that is found in almost every retail establishment in America. The problem is, China makes all this stuff in large factories that have to rely on their own power systems, and they mostly use diesel generators. Factories use in-house power plants, because the national electric grid is too old and frail to support the energy demands of these huge production facilities.
With China's growing energy needs they have recently become a large player in absorbing larger portions of the world's solar panels. It is my belief that China is destined to be the largest user, and manufacturer, of solar electric panels in the world.
Well, I don't worry about them being the largest producer of solar panels. Heck, they produce uncountable containers of merchandise every day anyway. But, it doesn't take too much imagination to see the certain need that China will have for more solar panels than the world could possibly produce. It's a "supply-and-demand" world, so the solar industry will just have to crank up their panel production to try and fill the demand.
But, there is one looming energy demand of China that we can do little about.... oil.
We hear every day how the US is the largest guzzler of oil, but what about the day after tomorrow? What will the oil demands of China do to the world's oil supply? I think it is entirely likely that China will be the largest consumer of oil in the history of the world, with absolutely no end in sight! There's only so much oil, and China's demand for oil and gasoline will be more than what producers can pump out of the ground! This bottomless pit could turn into a black-hole that sucks up every drop of the world's oil.
All I can say is, we had better wake up. Our (US) government has snubbed it's nose at Kyoto and the thousands of scientists who are sounding the alarm about global warming. We may live to regret our arrogance, but what in the heck are we going to do about the looming oil demand of China? We can't go in there with guns and bombs to force the billions of Chinese back into a pre-industrialized society. What are we going to do if this enormously populated country sticks their nose up at the world environmental conscience? What steps can we possibly take when China's smokestacks spit out the kind of pollution that makes ours seem like a backfire of a lawnmower? What are we going to do when the gasoline we put into our SUV's goes to China instead of American gas stations? Are we going to build a nuclear power plant in every neighborhood?
We haven't even discussed India in this post. That's a topic that should be addressed in any world energy or solar discussion.
I don't have any answers, but I think that it is a warning to us all to get ready for a life-style change unlike anything we could ever prepare for!
Sorry for being so negative. Have a good day. Mike
Related Stories:
Earthtoys.com - Enormous Growth of Chinese PV Industry
ENN - China Warns Officials against Covering up Pollution
Blog - China to Spend Billions on Alternative Energy
